Every game offers a different perspective, but it won’t hurt if bettors compare past matches and look over several numbers, statistics in particular — which could raise their chances of winning that big payout. Any sport provides various trends, so punters might have to take a different approach when placing their money on several sports on the same day.
Studying betting trends may not guarantee 100% success in posting successive winning bets in your favorite sport. But analyzing such events can also provide an important self-education as any bettor may experience a cycle of events which they can use when making the right picks in the future — if they believe such a trend mirrors that of a past experience making bets.
VOLUME OF WAGERS EXPLAINED
The definition of sports betting trends is described as a volume of wagers placed at a bookmaker on one team against another. Public betting trends, meanwhile, are also referred to as betting percentages.
Professional handicappers typically monitor public betting trends data by going over the lines and seeing what causes the line to move. Punters also study betting trends to pinpoint large money drops by looking for line movement that contradicts the betting trends — also known as reverse line movement.
It is important for bettors to know why the lines move on a certain team. For example, if the line opened at Texas at -7 before moving to -8, a bettor will have a clear understanding as to why the sportsbook will move the line to -8 since 88% of the public, for instance, is betting on Texas at -7.
TRY BETTING AGAINST THE PUBLIC
Some seasoned bettors, or those who often take risks, opt to go with the most popular and simplest “how to win” betting strategies using unique betting trends data. “Betting Against the Public” has evolved as a basic strategy to go against the majority.
Sportsbooks often are forced to move the lines as more bettors load up on one side to lure more money on the other team to reduce the risk. Such a massive influx of public money leads the betting marketplace to act irrationally.
Bettors often get an extra one to two points on a bet once the betting marketplace acts irrationally, as this will also raise a punter’s winning percentage by 3% to 4% in the long run.
GO FOR REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT
Reverse line movement is a betting strategy where it looks for betting line movement that contradicts the public betting trends percentages.
Let’s try, for example, an NBA match between the Phoenix Suns -14 vs. the San Antonio Spurs +14. A sports betting analytical website informs its members that 80% of the bets placed are for Phoenix, but the line moves against the Suns, making Phoenix -13.
This is a sign that large wagers, known as the “smart money,” made by an individual or a syndicate, have come in on San Antonio. The bettor should search for a sportsbook offering San Antonio +14 and then quickly place a bet. This method is often successful, but this requires patience and quick thinking.