How to Dodge a Bad Beat and Getting Sharp

How to Dodge a Bad Beat and Getting Sharp

There will be instances when bettors are all primed up for a win after placing their money on a certain team or player only to get heartbroken over some wild and unexpected things that happened at the last minute – or even the last second – of a match. This is what bettors call a Bad Beat. Can bettors really avoid a bad beat? Not really, but punters can learn from this and bettors can get better through years of experience in placing bets. Rare bettors with an excellent track record are called a Sharp. Do Sharps avoid a Bad Beat? The odds of that scenario happening may have ranged from 100 to 1 to even 500 to one. Even the best sharps fall to a bad beat, but their vast knowledge of the game makes it very rare for them to go in that direction.

NO GUARANTEES WITH A BAD BEAT

Just as it seemed like you were guaranteed a victory, you lose the bet due to an unnecessary buzzer-beating three-point shot or an unexpected touchdown even if the outcome of the game has already been decided. A bad beat often happens in poker when you feel you have the lucky hand only before another player receives the few cards they need to win the hand. But a bad beat has slowly been felt in sports betting the past few years from college basketball to American football. Getting a bad beat is often experienced in point spreads in basketball and football, so watch out.
How do experts classify a bad beat from just gambling? They usually compile a series of games from different sports, analyze it before they all determine if the match is something many bettors fell due to a bad beat. When a panel of ESPN Betting Insiders in 2020 laid down their worst bad beats in 2019, they identified a match between the Philadelphia Eagles vs the Washington Redskins in Week 15 of the NFL season, along with the Air Force (-20) against San Jose State on September 27, 2019, as well as an NBA match between the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Oklahoma City Thunder on December 6 that year.
What are the common denominators of these matches? Unexpected touchdowns, a couple of last-minute plays, a technical foul, a free throw, and a tying layup at the buzzer to force overtime changed the opposite fortunes of two teams. These are wild and uncommon last-second plays rarely seen in a game so unexpected the experts labeled it as a bad beat.

HOW TO SPOT A SHARP

There are players who place bets for recreational purposes, and there are some who place their money based on skills developed in analyzing the teams, players, matches, and statistics. It takes months, or most likely years, of experience to become a skilled bettor, particularly in standard point spreads. And for the rare few bettors who post a 60% winning rate on a consistent basis are called sharps. A sharp is defined as a long-term winning bettor whose inputs or opinions are valued by sportsbooks. A bet by a sharp often prompts a sportsbook to change their moneylines, parlays, and point spreads. That’s the influence these rare breeds of bettors command in the industry through years of skills and experience.
Sharps are gone past the stage of bettors when they place their money to answer the thrill of watching marquee matches. Years of developing their skills make sharps a group of professionals who get their main source of income through sports betting. They place big money on matches that a USD25 bet on the game they like is not enough.
How big of an influence does a sharp command in placing money on marquee matches? They command sharp action when their opinions result in reverse line movement in sportsbooks. Once a betting line veers away from the popular side or team – a reverse line movement occurs, paving the way for the clearest giveaway of sharp action.
If a team like Northwestern lands 25% of the bets in their matchup against Michigan, for example, it is likely that sharps comprise that 25%, even as the Wildcats are also accounting for 55% of the money. But bettors still have to be careful and wonder as to why oddsmakers would move the spread to make it easier for most of their customers to win such a bet. In these types of situations, they may have been influenced by sharp action or they may likely have either a significant monetary ability.

LESSONS LEARNED AS PRACTICE MAKES PERFECT

It is safe to say that reaching a sharp status does not guarantee a bettor avoiding a bad beat. Getting to that level, for one, is difficult enough. As they say, a bad beat hits even to the best sports bettors around but such incidents should not happen quite often. Being a master of point spreads and parlays takes years of experience, patience, skills, and even a deep pocket. Like most athletes in any sport, punters get better with practice. And for bettors, that means thousands of bets placed in the sports they like or are comfortable with. If bettors do claim that they have dodged a bad beat, that situation falls most likely on just gambling. As it is, bettors can say dodging a bad beat if they emerged as better players from it. And experiences like these can help make some elite bettors become sharps average bettors can only dream of.
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