NBA Western Conference Finals: Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors (Game 1) Odds and Picks

A noisy but supportive crowd awaits the Golden State Warriors (61-32) to start a series for a change, as the Dubs host the Dallas Mavericks (60-35) at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California, on Wednesday. In today’s game, the Warriors were listed as 5-point favorites against the Mavericks. See more predictions in the Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

  • Underdogs: Mavericks +5 (-110)
  • Mavericks vs Warriors Over/Under: 214.5 points
For the best odds for today’s games, check out N1Bet!!

The Mavericks (56-37-2 ATS) are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the Western Conference and are 5-1 SU in their last six against the Warriors. The total has gone OVER in eight of Dallas’ last 11 matches on the road, even as the Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests when playing on the road against the Dubs.

The Dubs (46-43-4 ATS) went 8-0 SU in their last eight matches at home, but were only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games when playing at home against the Mavericks, even as the total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State’s last 18 outings played on a Wednesday. Golden State will carry over the momentum of its 4-2 win over Memphis in the conference semifinals after the Dubs finished off the Grizzlies, 110-96, in Game 6 on Friday.

Dallas is also on a high after defying the odds and pulling off a 123-90 blowout win on the road over the top seeded Phoenix Suns in Game 7 on Sunday to complete a 4-3 series victory. The Mavericks will still be led by All-Star guard Luka Doncic, who averaged an impressive 32.6 points in the Phoenix series, but they also need more production from Jalen Brunson (16.3 ppg, 4.8 apg) and Spencer Dinwiddie, who had 30 points in the Game 7 clincher against the Suns, to make the Warriors work on their defense early in the series.

Final Predictions and Picks:

  • Spread —  115 Golden State Warriors  – 104 Dallas Mavericks
  • Over/Under — OVER 214.5 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Jimmy Butler made Boston pay with 41 points on 12-of-19 shooting along with nine rebounds, five assists, four steals, and three blocks, while top reserve Tyler Herro had 18 points and eight boards, as the Miami Heat took advantage of the absence of Marcus Smart and Al Horford to pull off a 118-107 victory over the Celtics to take a 1-0 lead in their Eastern Conference finals series.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

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